Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 7.577570 8.799350 10.116403 11.637053 13.339534 15.181988 17.321743
2025-12-07 5.867407 7.487189 9.364950 11.684577 14.453750 17.633820 21.540825
2025-12-14 4.875648 6.693194 8.920300 11.813001 15.430439 19.762460 25.295867
2025-12-21 4.126929 6.039489 8.497937 11.829452 16.159087 21.523913 28.593439
2025-12-28 3.671944 5.682149 8.375063 12.157795 17.233977 23.702443 32.444235
2026-01-04 3.271386 5.334687 8.206812 12.375951 18.134568 25.657661 36.053048
2026-01-11 2.888836 4.957537 7.945634 12.420458 18.770766 27.260338 39.232512
2026-01-18 2.461801 4.456093 7.448939 12.075457 18.822003 28.050393 41.328047
2026-01-25 2.121703 4.044568 7.038143 11.806982 18.940044 28.906097 43.510984
2026-02-01 1.823961 3.662283 6.630417 11.499795 18.964298 29.606968 45.477608
2026-02-08 1.574403 3.328348 6.263369 11.217447 18.992348 30.292548 47.422093
2026-02-15 1.346905 3.002351 5.875191 10.864799 18.880095 30.751633 49.037066
2026-02-22 1.216682 2.841944 5.753491 10.936424 19.429492 32.211089 52.164272
2026-03-01 1.096054 2.683837 5.619967 10.975236 19.922878 33.598616 55.225484
2026-03-08 1.001111 2.563916 5.541612 11.097081 20.547209 35.197261 58.639441
2026-03-15 0.902664 2.422623 5.409573 11.112709 20.991779 36.526682 61.679160
2026-03-22 0.850398 2.373978 5.446094 11.424744 21.935920 38.657286 65.989567
2026-03-29 0.790749 2.300420 5.426973 11.632110 22.708100 40.536325 69.959422
2026-04-05 0.719452 2.189426 5.323099 11.674420 23.195420 41.971602 73.273980
2026-04-12 0.620605 1.996098 5.033293 11.346488 23.020158 42.326632 74.898226
2026-04-19 0.540084 1.834499 4.792217 11.091357 22.953903 42.847207 76.786474
2026-04-26 0.466317 1.676936 4.542794 10.799505 22.801971 43.212671 78.425990
2026-05-03 0.403178 1.536131 4.314724 10.531317 22.674535 43.606468 80.111323